After a weak and uneven monsoon in 2023, India is all set to witness abundant rainfall this year. The Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation Climate Center (APCC) has released its first monsoon report for India and it looks quite promising. As per APCC’s prediction, India is likely to experience above-normal rainfall during the monsoon season due to return of La Nina conditions. Read on to know more about APCC’s predictions for Indian monsoon this year.
La Nina Promises Above Normal Rainfall This Monsoon
Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation Climate Center (APCC)’s first monsoon prediction for India is out. As per the forecast, India is set to witness above-normal precipitation from July to September. Due to an El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) alert system update, APCC has reported that India will see a smooth transition from El Nino (warming of the Pacific) to La Nina (cooling of the Pacific) condition.
La Nina is generally associated with good monsoon rainfall. It is the periodic cooling of ocean surface temperatures in the central and east-central equatorial Pacific Ocean. It can be understood as the cool phase of the El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle. These conditions may appear in India from June. However, they will become prominent in August and September.
As per the statement released by APCC, “Enhanced probability for above-normal precipitation is predicted for the region spanning eastern Africa to the Arabian Sea, India, the Bay of Bengal, and Indonesia, the Caribbean Sea, the tropical North Atlantic, southern Australia, and the southern South Pacific. A tendency for above-normal precipitation is expected for some regions of East Asia and northern Australia.”
Also Read: BMC Installs 481 Dewatering Pumps Across Mumbai To Gear Up For Monsoon; But Will It Really Help?
IMD Predicts Scorching Summer Before Good Monsoon
While the monsoon ahead looks promising, the summer season will be tough to get through this time around. As per a recent report by the India Meteorological Department (IMD), El Nino conditions are “likely to bring intense heat during the summer season this year.” Telangana, Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, parts of Maharashtra, and Odisha will see prevalent El Nino conditions with more heatwave days.
While the promise of good rainfall has us all excited, the summer ahead definitely has us all worried! We hope ENSO’s predictions about the transition from El Nino to La Nina conditions this year are true and we don’t suffer a very hot summer. Let us know your thoughts about this in the comments section!
Cover Image Courtesy: Canva (representative image)
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