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What Happens When Climate Change Targets Your Breakfast? Corn Flakes And Tofu May Be Next

Climate change is pushing the world’s key crops, such as corn, soybeans, and sorghum into dangerous instability, a new University of British Columbia study warns. Even a 1°C rise sharply increases year-to-year yield volatility, threatening global food prices and security. From Sub-Saharan Africa to the U.S. Midwest, the impact could shake breakfast tables worldwide.

by Mahi Adlakha
What Happens When Climate Change Targets Your Breakfast? Corn Flakes And Tofu May Be Next

The next time you reach for a box of corn flakes or stir-fry tofu, consider this: climate change may be slowly edging them off your plate. A sweeping new study from the University of British Columbia, published in Science Advances, warns that the world’s most crucial crops, including corn, soybeans, and sorghum, are becoming increasingly unpredictable as the planet heats up.

How Rising Temperatures Could Impact Corn Flakes And Tofu

Corn Flakes Tofu
Image Courtesy: afloimages/CanvaPro

According to India Today, this research is the first to zoom in on how much these crops swing from year to year. Instead of just measuring long-term declines, it shows the growing instability hidden in the numbers. It reflects a volatility that threatens not just farmers’ harvests but dinner tables around the globe.

The math is stark. Push global temperatures up by just one degree Celsius, and annual yield variability rises: corn by 7%, soybeans by a striking 19%, and sorghum by 10%. These are the foundations of breakfast cereals, cooking oils, tofu, and animal feed. Volatile harvests mean shaky food prices, and for many communities, that instability translates into empty plates.

The projections are sobering. With 2°C of warming, once-in-a-century crop failures will start arriving far more often. Soybean wipeouts, currently expected once in 100 years, could strike every 25. Corn and sorghum will also see sharp jumps in disastrous years. If emissions keep climbing unchecked, soybeans could face catastrophic losses every eight years before the century ends.

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What This Means For Global Food Security

That level of disruption doesn’t respect borders. Regions most at risk, including Sub-Saharan Africa, Central America, and South Asia, rely heavily on rain-fed farming and have fragile safety nets. But the global north isn’t invincible. In 2012, a U.S. Midwest drought slashed corn and soybean yields by 20%, racking up billions in losses and sending world food prices soaring nearly 10% in just a few months, as stated by India Today.

At the heart of the problem is a vicious cycle: heat bakes the soil dry, parched soil amplifies heatwaves, and the two together choke crops right at their most vulnerable stages. Pollination falters, growing seasons shrink, and entire harvests collapse. Sometimes it takes only a few brutal days to undo a year’s work.

Also Read: Homemade Tofu: How To Make Tofu At Home From ANY Legume In 7 Easy Steps

The study’s message is clear: climate change isn’t a distant threat; it’s already reshaping global agriculture. And it’s not just farmers who will feel the impact. From corn flakes in the morning to tofu on the dinner table, the everyday foods people take for granted are now caught in the crosshairs of a warming planet.

Cover Image Courtesy: tomophafan/CanvaPro and ildipapp/CanvaPro

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First Published: September 09, 2025 7:21 PM